计量经济学多元回归分析案例.pdf
计量经济学案例分析
多元回归分析案例
财政收入规模的影响因素
被解释变量:财政收入亿(元)
解释变量:收亿(元),经济活动人口亿(元),国内生产总值亿(元)
样本:2000年一2011年的财政收入,收亿(元),经济活动人口亿(元),国内生
产总值亿(元)
数据来源:中华人民共和国国家统计局(单位:亿元)
各项收经济活动人口
财政收入Y国民生产总值X3
XIX2
19902,937.102,821.8665,323.0018,668.00
19913,149.482,990.1766,091.0021,618.00
19923,483.373,296.9166,782.0026,924.00
19934,348.954,255.3067,468.0035,334.00
19945,218.105,126.8868,135.0048,198.00
19956,242.206,038.0468,855.0060,794.00
19967,407.996,909.8269,765.0071,177.00
19978,651.148,234.0470,800.0078,973.00
19989,875.959,262.8072,087.0084,402.00
199911,444.0810,682.5872,791.0089,677.00
200013,395.2312,581.5173,992.0099,215.00
200116,386.0415,301.3873,884.00109,655.00
200218,903.6417,636.4574,492.00120,333.00
200321,715.2520,017.3174,911.00135,823.00
200426,396.4724,165.6875,290.00159,878.00
200531,649.2928,778.5476,120.00183,085.00
200638,760.2034,804.3576,315.00211,923.00
200751,321.7845,621.9776,531.00257,306.00
200861,330.3554,223.7977,046.00307,064.00
200968,518.3059,521.5977,510.003