13、年会论文-中部六省入境旅游流流量与流质演化研究.doc

PAGE11 / NUMPAGES11 中部六省入境旅游流流量与流质演化研究 石张宇 （安庆师范大学 资源环境学院，安徽安庆 246133） 摘要：持续、均衡、大规模、高质量的旅游流对旅游目的地发展具有重要意义。基于2001-2014相关统计数据，从流量变化趋势、流量位序变化、流质演化和流量与流质匹配度四个方面研究了中部六省入境旅游流流量与流质演化特征。结果表明：六省入境旅游流量规模均呈波动爆发式增长态势，但各省入境旅游流质下降严重，2014年大多在0.5上下波动，表明入境旅游流质量整体持续变差。前三位省份位序竞争在2007年后变得较为激烈，安徽入境旅游发展竞争优势逐渐显现，而湖南入境旅游发展波动性较大。六省入境旅游流量与流质匹配度转型较差，同步双高型省份消失，正向偏离型省份增多。中部六省应在区域旅游合作背景下，谋求差异化发展战略提升入境旅游??质量。 关键词：入境旅游流；流量；流质；演化特征；中部六省 中图分类号：F590 文献标志码： 文章编号： Evolution Research on Quantity and Quality of Inbound Tourism Flow of 6 Provinces in Central China SHI Zhang-yu (School of resource and environment Anqing Normal University, Anqing 246133 Anhui) Abstract：Central region rising plan is a major strategic decision, and the development of inbound tourism of 6 provinces in Central China is an important part of the plan. Sustainable, balanced, large-scale and high quality inbound tourism flow is of great significance to the development of 6 provinces in Central China. Based on the 2001-2014 relevant statistical data, the paper, from change trend of tourism flow quantity, Sequence change of tourism flow quantity, tourism flow quality evolution and the quantity and quality of tourism flow matching degree, studied the evolution characteristics of the quantity and quality of inbound tourism flow of 6 provinces in Central China. The results as follows: Inbound tourism flow of 6 provinces showed a fluctuating and explosive growing trend, but the quality of inbound tourism flow declined seriously, the quality index of inbound tourism flow in 2014 moves mostly around 0.5,which indicates inbound tourism flow quality of 6 provinces is poor as a whole. Sequence competition of the first three provinces after 2007 becomes more intense, Anhui province always ranks the first, which reveals gradually the competitive advantage of inbound tourism development, yet inbound tourism development of Hunan province fluctuates greatly. the matching degree transformation of the quantity and quality of i