【精品报告】美国农业部-美股-农业行业-美国家畜、乳制品和家禽展望.pdf

EconomicResearchService|SituationandOutlookReport

LDP-M-310|April15,2020NextreleaseisMay18,2020

Livestock,Dairy,andPoultryOutlook

BeefandPorkDisappearanceExpectedToDecreaseBetween

2019and2020;PoultryLikelyToIncrease

Redmeatandpoultrydisappearanceiscalculatedasthevolumeofmeatandpoultryproductionthat

andpreferences,andotherdemandfactorsthatultimatelydeterminehowmuchredmeatandpoultry

individualconsumerswillchoosetobuyandconsume.

Thefigurebelowshowsexpectedretailweightpercapitadisappearanceforbeef,pork,broilers,and

turkeyfor2020,anddisappearancefor2019.Thesearethelargest-volumemeatsproducedinthe

percentthisyearcomparedto2019.Turkeydisappearanceisalsoexpectedtoincreaseabout1

percent.

U.S.retailweightpercapitadisappearanceformajorredmeatsandpoultry,2019and2020

20192020

120.0

97.9

100.095.1

80.0

58.157.752.452.3

60.0

40.0

16.016.1

20.0

.0

BroilersBeefPorkTurkey

Source:EconomicResearchService,USDAcalculationsfromWorldAgriculturalOutlookBoard,USDAdata.

ApprovedbyUSDA’sWorldAgriculturalOutlookBoard

Beef/Cattle:

slaughteralongwithheavierdressedweights.However,productionfortheremainderoftheyearis

aswellasbyheavierdressedweights.Slowerbeefdemandandpotentiallyslowerratesofslaughter

first-quarterforecastwasraisedby25millionpoundsbasedonthepaceofshipmentsfromOceania.

U.S.beefexportsinFebruarywereup21per