bias due to changes in specified outcomes during the systematic review process偏差变化引起系统审查过程中指定的结果.pdf

Bias Due to Changes in Specified Outcomes during the Systematic Review Process 1 2 1 Jamie J. Kirkham *, Doug G. Altman , Paula R. Williamson 1 Centre for Medical Statistics and Health Evaluation, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, England, 2 Centre for Statistics in Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, England Abstract Background: Adding, omitting or changing outcomes after a systematic review protocol is published can result in bias because it increases the potential for unacknowledged or post hoc revisions of the planned analyses. The main objective of this study was to look for discrepancies between primary outcomes listed in protocols and in the subsequent completed reviews published on the Cochrane Library. A secondary objective was to quantify the risk of bias in a set of meta-analyses where discrepancies between outcome specifications in protocols and reviews were found. Methods and Findings: New reviews from three consecutive issues of the Cochrane Library were assessed. For each review, the primary outcome(s) listed in the review protocol and the review itself were identified and review authors were contacted to provide reasons for any discrepancies. Over a fifth (64/288, 22%) of protocol/review pairings were found to contain a discrepancy in at least one outcome measure, of which 48 (75%) were attributable to changes in the primary outcome measure. Where lead authors could recall a reason for the discrepancy in the primary outcome, there was found to be potential bias in nearly a third (8/28, 29%) of these reviews, with changes being made after knowledge of the results from individual trials. Only 4(6%) of the 64 reviews with an outcome discrepancy described the reason for the change in the review, with no acknowledgment of the change in any o