麦肯锡—伊拉克战后重建机会研究报告.ppt

OVERVIEW OF THE IRAQ OPPORTUNITY Doing Business in Iraq AGENDA AGENDA OVERVIEW IRAQI GEOGRAPHY AGENDA COMPARISON OF IRAQ WITH SAUDI ARABIA AGENDA THANK YOU Source: Press clippings How do the changes in Iraq affect the economic governance structures in the region and will other countries in the region be ‘forced’ to open up their economies to stay competitive? What is the economic and political impact of a potential drop in oil prices caused by an increased in Iraq’s production and what will be the future of OPEC? How can regional companies benefit from expected large investment requirements to rebuild Iraq and how will position themselves to capture the opportunity (e.g., consolidation, alliances) ? KEY ISSUES FOR THE REGION FOLLOWING THE REBUILDING OF IRAQ ……which will have impact on other economies of the region FOR DISCUSSION * Unit of measure * Footnote Source: Sources Date This report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or reproduced for distribution outside the client organization without prior written approval from McKinsey Company. This material was used by McKinsey Company during an oral presentation; it is not a complete record of the discussion. Amman, 5th June 2003 Achmed Al-Shahrabani McKinsey Company, Inc. Overview Iraq Economic scenarios for Iraq Required investments Overview Iraq Economic scenarios for Iraq Required investments Total area: 437,000 m2 Limited arable land Arable land: 11% Permanent crops: 1% Desert: 88% Largest governates Baghdad (8.0m) Nineveh (2.1m) Basra (2.0m) Varying climate (Baghdad) Summer temp: 35-50o Winter temp: 5-15o Rainfall: 155mm/year Source: Country Watch, CIA world fact book Car transport 39,000 km paved roads 765,000 privately registered passenger cars 266,000 privately registered trucks Air Major airports in Baghdad, Basra and Mosul Three major railway routes Baghdad–Kirkuk–Irbil Baghdad–Mosul–Yurubiyah Baghdad–Maagal–Umm Qasr Telecom 3% penet