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基于系统动力学的北京供需水关系仿真研究.pptx

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基于系统动力学的北京供需水关系仿真研究汇报人:2024-01-09

IntroductionSystemDynamicsTheoryandApplicationBeijingsWaterSupplyandDemandSituationSimulationModelDevelopmentResultsAnalysisandDiscussionConclusionandFutureWork目录

01Introduction

WaterResourceShortageBeijing,asametropoliswithadensepopulationandrapideconomicdevelopment,facesseverewaterresourceshortages.ImbalancebetweenSupplyandDemandThecurrentwatersupplysysteminBeijingstrugglestomeettheincreasingdemandforwater,leadingtoanimbalancebetweensupplyanddemand.ImportanceofSystemDynamicsSystemdynamicsisamethodologythatcanhelpunderstandthecomplexinteractionswithinwatersupplyanddemandsystemsandinformeffectivepolicydecisions.BackgroundandSignificance

ResearchObjectivesandQuestionsObjective:TodevelopasystemdynamicsmodelthatsimulatesthewatersupplyanddemandrelationshipinBeijingandanalyzestheimpactofdifferentpoliciesonthesystemsbehavior.

ResearchObjectivesandQuestions01ResearchQuestions02HowdoesthecurrentwatersupplyanddemandsysteminBeijingfunction?Whatarethekeyfactorsthatinfluencethesystemsbehavior?03

ResearchObjectivesandQuestionsHowcandifferentpoliciesaffectthesystemsperformanceintermsofwatersupplyanddemandbalance?Whatarethepotentialstrategiestoimprovethesystemsefficiencyandsustainability?

02SystemDynamicsTheoryandApplication

SystemDynamics(SD)isacomputer-aidedapproachtopolicyanalysisanddesign.Itappliestodynamicproblemsarisingincomplexsocial,managerial,economic,orecologicalsystems.Developedinthe1950sbyProfessorJayW.ForresteratMIT,SystemDynamicshassincebeenappliedtoawiderangeoffieldsincludingurbanplanning,corporatestrategy,andnationaldevelopment.SDfocusesonthefeedbackstructuresanddynamicbehaviorofsystems.Itemphasizestheimportanceofunderstandingtheinteractionsbetweensystemcomponentsandhowthesei

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