基于系统动力学的北京供需水关系仿真研究.pptx
基于系统动力学的北京供需水关系仿真研究汇报人:2024-01-09
IntroductionSystemDynamicsTheoryandApplicationBeijingsWaterSupplyandDemandSituationSimulationModelDevelopmentResultsAnalysisandDiscussionConclusionandFutureWork目录
01Introduction
WaterResourceShortageBeijing,asametropoliswithadensepopulationandrapideconomicdevelopment,facesseverewaterresourceshortages.ImbalancebetweenSupplyandDemandThecurrentwatersupplysysteminBeijingstrugglestomeettheincreasingdemandforwater,leadingtoanimbalancebetweensupplyanddemand.ImportanceofSystemDynamicsSystemdynamicsisamethodologythatcanhelpunderstandthecomplexinteractionswithinwatersupplyanddemandsystemsandinformeffectivepolicydecisions.BackgroundandSignificance
ResearchObjectivesandQuestionsObjective:TodevelopasystemdynamicsmodelthatsimulatesthewatersupplyanddemandrelationshipinBeijingandanalyzestheimpactofdifferentpoliciesonthesystemsbehavior.
ResearchObjectivesandQuestions01ResearchQuestions02HowdoesthecurrentwatersupplyanddemandsysteminBeijingfunction?Whatarethekeyfactorsthatinfluencethesystemsbehavior?03
ResearchObjectivesandQuestionsHowcandifferentpoliciesaffectthesystemsperformanceintermsofwatersupplyanddemandbalance?Whatarethepotentialstrategiestoimprovethesystemsefficiencyandsustainability?
02SystemDynamicsTheoryandApplication
SystemDynamics(SD)isacomputer-aidedapproachtopolicyanalysisanddesign.Itappliestodynamicproblemsarisingincomplexsocial,managerial,economic,orecologicalsystems.Developedinthe1950sbyProfessorJayW.ForresteratMIT,SystemDynamicshassincebeenappliedtoawiderangeoffieldsincludingurbanplanning,corporatestrategy,andnationaldevelopment.SDfocusesonthefeedbackstructuresanddynamicbehaviorofsystems.Itemphasizestheimportanceofunderstandingtheinteractionsbetweensystemcomponentsandhowthesei