applied climate-change analysis the climate wizard tool应用气候变化分析气候向导工具.pdf

Applied Climate-Change Analysis: The Climate Wizard Tool 1,2 2 3 4 5 1 Evan H. Girvetz *, Chris Zganjar , George T. Raber , Edwin P. Maurer , Peter Kareiva , Joshua J. Lawler 1 School of Forest Resources, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America, 2 Global Climate Change Program, The Nature Conservancy, Arlington, Virginia, United States of America, 3 Department of Geography and Geology, University of Southern Mississippi, Hattiesburg, Mississippi, United States of America, 4 Department of Civil Engineering, Santa Clara University, Santa Clara, California, United States of America, 5 Worldwide Office, The Nature Conservancy, Seattle, Washington, United States of America Abstract Background: Although the message of ‘‘global climate change’’ is catalyzing international action, it is local and regional changes that directly affect people and ecosystems and are of immediate concern to scientists, managers, and policy makers. A major barrier preventing informed climate-change adaptation planning is the difficulty accessing, analyzing, and interpreting climate-change information. To address this problem, we developed a powerful, yet easy to use, web-based tool called Climate Wizard (http://ClimateW) that provides non-climate specialists with simple analyses and innovative graphical depictions for conveying how climate has and is projected to change within specific geographic areas throughout the world. Methodology/Principal Findings: To demonstrate the Climate Wizard, we explored historic trends and future departures (anomalies) in temperature and precipitation globally, and within specific latitudinal zones and countri