上海市碳排放与经济增长关系的实证研究(英文).pdf

Advanced Materials Research Vols. 347-353 (2012) pp 329-333 Online available since 2011/Oct/07 at © (2012) Trans Tech Publications, Switzerland doi:10.4028//AMR.347-353.329 An Empirical Study of Relationship between Economic Growth and CO2 Emission of Shanghai Wenhui Zhao1, a, Zhen Zhan1, b 1School of Economics and Management, Shanghai University of Electric Power, 2103 Pingliang Road Shanghai, 2 90 China a b wenhui_zhao@163.com, linove@163.com Keywords: CO2 emission; Cointegration; the Granger Causality; Shanghai Abstract. The relationship between CO emission and economic growth of Shanghai is discussed, 2 which is realized in the way of mutual study of the cointegrating analysis of GDP, energy consumption and CO2 emission from 1993 to 2009 of Shanghai and the study of causality based on VECM. As can be seen from the conclusion, in the long run, the relationship between the economic growth and CO2 emission of Shanghai is unidirectional, i.e., the growth of economy will promote the quantity of emitted CO . However, CO emission is not the Granger cause of economic growth. But in 2 2 the short run, they constitute no cause-and-effect relationship. Therefore, some suggestions regarding the energy conservation and emission reduction policies of Shanghai are presented based on an empirical analysis. Introduction According to the report of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the CO emission 2 from burning fossil fuels has accounted