基于分布式水文模型的青藏高原典型冰湖水位预报研究.pdf

Journal of Water Resources Research 水资源研究, 2014, 3, 369-377 Published Online October 2014 in Hans. /journal/jwrr /10.12677/jwrr.2014.35045 The Water Level Forecast Research of a Typical Glacier Lake in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau Based on Distributed Hydrological Model 1 1 1 2 2 Feng Wang , Honglei Tang , Qihua Ran , Changwei Xiao , Zhipeng Huang 1 Department of Hydraulic Engineering, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 2 Tibet Autonomous Region Planning Survey and Design Institute of Water Conservancy and Electric Power, Lhasa Email: wfno1@163.com th nd th Received: Sep. 15 , 2014; revised: Sep. 22 , 2014; accepted: Sep. 29 , 2014 Copyright © 2014 by authors and Hans Publishers Inc. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). /licenses/by/4.0/ Abstract The glacial lakes in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau are important water resources for the local resi- dents. However, there is a great potential of safety hazard. Affected by the climate change in recent years, more and more glacier lakes turn into dangerous situations. And for the moraine lake, which is the most likely to burst, the majority of disasters are caused by overtopping. Therefore, the monitoring and the analysis of moraine lake water level have great significance. Physical based distributed hydrological model InHM which has added the glacial ablation part was first used in mountain glacial basin. The typical dangerous glacial lake—Huanghu located in the end of Glacier Shimo, Qinghai-Tibet Plateau was