计量经济学论文[影响农业的因素分析].docx

目录摘要………………………………………………………………………………………..3英文摘要………………………………………………………………………………..4问题的提出…………………………………………………………………….5总论…………………………………………………………………….5问题…………………………………………………………………….5文献综述…………………………………………………………………………6问题解决……………………………………………………………..6方法原理……………………………………………………………..6文献综述……………………………………………………………..6模型设定………………………………………………………………………….8数据收集………………………………………………………………..8建立模型………………………………………………………………..9模型的估计与调整………………………………………………………….10多重共线性的检验………………………………………………..10修正多重共线性…………………………………………………….11异方差的检验………………………………………………………..14自相关性检验………………………………………………………..15结论………………………………………………………………………………….16总论说明………………………………………………………………..16政策解析………………………………………………………………..16建议………………………………………………………………………..17 六．文献资料…………………………………………………………………………….18摘要：中国经济不断发展，正逐渐变成制造大国，随之各种矛盾接踵而来，用地矛盾不断凸显，工业抢占农业用地，城市抢占农村用地，我国耕地正在面临逐渐减少的局面，加上近年来各种自然灾害频发，比如西南地区的缺水危机和长江中下游的缺水危机，致使粮食危机也可能将要显现出来，但是中国政府出台了一些列保护农业的措施才不会让危机真正到来，近年来中国粮食丰收持续好几年，农业产值也不断增加。这与加大农业的投入密切相关，工业的发展促进了农业的发展。与农用机械的增加，各种水利设施的建设，化肥的用量都有很大的关系。关键词：多重共线性 逐步回归法Abstract：Chinas economic has a lot of development ,and is gradually turned into a manufacturing power .But then through various contradictions, Land unceasingly highlighting contradictions, For example , Industrial preempted agricultural land, rural land city race , so cultivated land are facing gradually reduce situation. And in recent years, all kinds of natural disasters has happened, For example Southwests water crisis, and the Yangtze rivers water crisis, so as to the food crisis also could be about to show , But the Chinese government introduced a series of measures to protect agricultural wont let crisis coming true. Recent years Chinas grain harvest continued for several years and agricultural production are also increasing. This increase is closely related with the increasing of investment in agriculture. And the development of industry promoted the development of agriculture. And also it is closely related with the increase of agricultural machinery, all kinds of water conservancy facilities, the amo