why victory in the war on cancer remains elusive biomedical hypotheses and mathematical models为什么战争的胜利对癌症仍然是难以捉摸的生物医学假设和数学模型.pdf
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Cancers 2011, 3, 340-367; doi:10.3390/cancers3010340
OPEN ACCESS
cancers
ISSN 2072-6694
/journal/cancers
Review
Why Victory in the War on Cancer Remains Elusive:
Biomedical Hypotheses and Mathematical Models
Leonid Hanin
Department of Mathematics, Idaho State University, 921 S. 8th Avenue, Stop 8085, Pocatello, ID
83209-8085, USA; E-Mail: hanin@
Received: 3 December 2010; in revised form: 6 January 2011 / Accepted: 11 January 2011 /
Published: 17 January 2011
Abstract: We discuss philosophical, methodological, and biomedical grounds for the
traditional paradigm of cancer and some of its critical flaws. We also review some
potentially fruitful approaches to understanding cancer and its treatment. This includes the
new paradigm of cancer that was developed over the last 15 years by Michael Retsky,
Michael Baum, Romano Demicheli, Isaac Gukas, William Hrushesky and their colleagues
on the basis of earlier pioneering work of Bernard Fisher and Judah Folkman. Next, we
highlight the unique and pivotal role of mathematical modeling in testing biomedical
hypotheses about the natural history of cancer and the effects of its treatment, elaborate on
model selection criteria, and mention some methodological pitfalls. Finally, we describe a
specific mathematical model of cancer progression that supports all the main postulates of
the new paradigm of cancer when applied to the natural history of a particular brea
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