考虑中断风险的供应链选址博弈研究-计算机工程与应用.pdf

Computer Engineering and Applications 计算机工程与应用 2017 ，53（20 ） 231 考虑中断风险的供应链选址博弈研究用 王继光 应 WANG Jiguang 与 山西大学 经济与管理学院，太原 030006 程 School of Economics Management, Shanxi University, Taiyuan 030006, China g 工 r o WANG Jiguang. Supply chain location game in the presence of disruption risk. Computer Engineering and Appli- . cations, 2017, 53 （20 ）：231-236. j 机 a 算 e Abstract ：As a major tool in the contemporary highly competitive market environment, supply chain management is rec- c . ognized highly by the industry and academia for it can enhance the competitive advantage effectively. But, to the decision- 计 w makers, there are some significant problems cannot be avoided because of its openness and scalability of supply chain. Based on a two-stage dynamic game model, this paper studies supply chain disruption risks and solves the optimal solu- w tions. Finally, the model is verified by a simulated example. w Key words ：supply chain; disruption risk; dynamic game 摘 要：供应链管理模式作为在当代高度竞争市场环境下能够有效提升企业竞争优势的主要工具，获得了业界和学 界的高度认可。但同时供应链的开放性和可扩展性所蕴含的潜在中断风险成为决策者无法回避的重大问题。基于 动态博弈模型研究了一类供应链中断风险问题，构建了两阶段两人动态博弈模型，并求解了最优解。最后通过模拟 算例对该模型进行了验证。 关键词：供应链；中断风险；动态博弈 文献标志码：A 中图分类号：TP391 doi ：10.3778/j.issn. 1002-8331.1701-0288 1 引言 选址问题最早源自1929年Harold Hotelling 的空间竞争 [2] 在供应链竞争的时代，能否在供应链企业间建立长 理论（Spatial competition theory）。为厂商在空间区 期稳定的合作伙伴关系是供应链保持稳定发展，进而获 位竞争中确定厂商的位置及其空间均衡状态的性质提 得持久竞争优势的关键。然而，供应链的开放